Matene and Jon are playing with a dice. Matene says that he thinks the next roll will be less than 3. Jon says that he thinks it will be an even number. Who is more likely to be right?
Solution:
There are two ways that Matene can be right (1 or 2). There are three ways that Jon can be right (2, 4, or 6). So it is more likely that Jon will be right.